Prospect System Ranking – 30th
The Panthers emerged from a season of transition, which is an unusual position for the previous season’s President’s trophy winner to find themselves. For the 2022 playoffs, they pushed all their chips in to take a run at the Stanley Cup, clearing out the prospect pipeline and leaving themselves with only four picks in the top three rounds over the next three drafts. They were eliminated in the second round, after a mid-season coaching change as Joel Quenneville was suspended and Andrew Brunette took over. Paul Maurice took over the reins in the offseason, accompanying a seismic trade to add Matthew Tkachuck for Jonathan Huberdeau and MacKenzie Weegar as the main pieces involved. They were looking out of the playoffs by January as the retool took some time to mesh.
Since then, Tkachuck has emerged as one of the best players in the league and adds an element of fire and grit. The Panthers surged in the second half, and as of this writing, currently have the Maple leafs on the ropes 3-1 as of this writing. They will remain a threat with a core in their prime of Barkov, Tkachuck, Reinhart, Bennett, Verhaege, Duclair at forward and Ekblad and Forsling on defense, all 27-years old or younger. There is not a lot of imminent help from the prospect pool. Grigori Denisenko has been highly touted for years, but his development has stagnated. This coming season will clearly be a make-or-break on whether he is a regular NHL contributor or an AHL’er. They have graduated two promising prospects in Anton Lundell and Spencer Knight, so their window is much more open with their current group to grow together.
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Selected 24th overall in the 2021 NHL Draft, Mackie Samoskevich has become the top prospect in the organization, thanks in part to the graduation of Anton Lundell and Spencer Knight. Samoskevich has been consistent in his development path, taking a step forward every season from his time with the Chicago Steel through to his NCAA career with the University of Michigan. His offensive awareness looks to be his greatest strength, from his navigation of the attacking zone to his ability to find teammates through traffic. He’s a competitive player, who’s increasingly become more and more reliable at both ends of the ice. As has been the case since his draft year, he can hang on to the puck too long and get caught, but that seems to be lessening. He has the potential to be a 2C at the next level but may slide more comfortably into a 3C role.
2. Grigori Denisenko
Drafted 15th overall way back in 2018, expectations were high for Grigori Denisenko and have remained fairly high ever since. It’s been a longer path than normal for the prospect, especially one drafted as high as him. He’s remained a piece that the Panthers continue to have faith in and hold out for, despite him being in his third season in North America already. After a slow start in years one and two, he seems to have taken a step forward this season with the Charlotte Checkers. He still has that skill that caused excitement years ago, especially with his quick hands and sharp turns, and he’s a firecracker on the ice. His decision-making can be concerning at times but has improved during his time in the AHL. At this point, his ceiling has dropped and it’s hard to see him as more than a bottom-six contributing winger.
3. Justin Sourdif
After two successful seasons in the WHL, Justin Sourdif was rewarded with a selection in the 2020 NHL Draft, 87th overall. He continued a very strong WHL career for three more seasons, capping it off with a WHL Championship in 2021-22. This season, he’s made the jump to the AHL where he hasn’t popped as he did in the Dub, but he’s not far off either. The forward has a never-give-up attitude mixed with excellent speed meaning that he wins most races to the puck. His puck protection and possession are very strong, never wanting to give up the puck to his opponents. He’s also effective in both ends of the ice, making him even more dynamic. He has the makings of a solid third liner and a penalty-killer in the NHL but does need to build some strength and get more comfortable in the AHL first.
4. Aleksi Heponiemi
The wait for Aleksi Heponiemi has been a very long one. Draft way back in 2017, the forward has yet to truly break into the NHL, despite seeing time in each of the last three seasons. Heponiemi was a very exciting prospect heading into the draft, coming over to the WHL in 2016-17 and winning Rookie of the Year. He played one more season with the Swift Current Broncos and had an impressive 118-point season. He followed that with a big year in the Liiga, leading all rookies in points (46) before heading to the AHL in 2019-20. Heponiemi has struggled to truly find that dominance that he had in other leagues, looking more like a bottom-six contributor versus a potential offensive catalyst. He’s still a very strong playmaker, but his size (5-foot-10, 154 pounds) has contributed to his struggles in carving out an NHL role for himself.
5. Michael Benning
Another player on the smaller size in the Panthers system, Michael Benning had a dominant career in the AJHL, leading the league in points from a defender in both of his seasons and being named the Top Defender in the AJHL and CJHL in his final year. After being drafted in 2020, 95th overall, he made the jump to the NCAA and the University of Denver. After taking the first season to get comfortable, he found his way back to his dominating ways in 2021-22, leading Denver to an NCAA Championship and earning Tournament MVP in the process. The 5-foot-9, 181-pound rearguard truly shines in his transition game, dictating the play and pace of his team from his own end. He’s fearless with the puck and has a level of creativity that allows him to create chances in the offensive zone. The transition to the next level will be tough with his size, but he has the tools to succeed.
6. Evan Nause
Evan Nause was a polarizing prospect throughout his draft year and remains so as a drafted prospect. His draft year was solid, earning him a nod to the QMJHL All-Rookie Team and then given an expanded role in 2021-22, he took a step forward. His progression this season hasn’t been as pronounced, but he is still on the right track and trending up. He has good size and looks like he could develop into a solid two-way presence. He reads the play very well, anticipating passes and cutting off lanes. He plays with a very calm demeanour. That can be an issue at times as he can appear to not play with urgency. He’s still fairly raw, but he has good mobility and the tools to be effective in his own end. He could be a bottom-of-the-line-up option that bounces between the AHL and NHL.
7. John Ludvig
After being passed over in the 2018 NHL Draft, the Panthers bet on John Ludvig in 2019, selecting him 69th overall. He was coming off an 18-point season, more than double his previous total. In 2019-20, he returned to the Portland Winterhawks as the captain and exploded for a 62-point season and was named a First Team All-Star. That was all the Panthers needed to see to sign him to his entry-level deal. Unfortunately, it’s been a tough road for the defender since then with several injury setbacks. He seemed on a path to be a physical, contributing rearguard who plays a mistake-free game. With his injuries and the impact on his development, it remains to be seen where he goes from here. This season has seen him back on track a bit, so it’s up to the Panthers if they want to continue with his development.
8. Mack Guzda
The Panthers have Spencer Knight in net for the foreseeable future, but having another goaltender or two in the system is never a bad this. Passed over through every NHL Draft he was eligible for, the Panthers signed Mack Guzda as a free agent in February 2022 while he was in the midst of a strong fourth and final OHL season where he had a .915 save percentage. He’s stepped into the AHL this season and performed well as a rookie playing fairly significant minutes. He’s an intelligent prospect, twice winning the Ivan Tennant Award as the Top Academic High School Player in the OHL. He’s got the size at 6-foot-5, 216 pounds, the technical ability, and the ability to track pucks, and while he’s not going to be stealing Knights’ spot any time soon, he could fit well behind him moving forward.
9. Santtu Kinnunen
It’s not too often that seventh-round selections pan out, but it appears that Santtu Kinnunen is well on his way. Drafted 207th overall in 2018, the defender remained in Finland until this season, bouncing between the Liiga and Mestis for two seasons before carving out a full-time role for himself with a new team, Tappara, for the past two seasons. At the end of his 2022 campaign, where he helped Tappara to a league title, he signed his entry-level deal with the Panthers. In his first season in the AHL with the Checkers, he’s fit in well as a top-four defender, contributing offensively and holding his own in his own end. He’s looking more and more like a player that could play in the NHL, as a solid, two-way, bottom-four piece. At the very least, he looks to be a solid AHLer who earns the occasional call-up.
10. Logan Hutsko
Yet another prospect coming out of the 2018 NHL Draft, the Panthers took a bit of a gamble selecting him 89th overall. From a fractured vertebra that nearly left him paralyzed to an injury to his left MCL and kneecap, he missed practically all of the 2016-17 season and wasn’t selected in the 2017 NHL Draft. He came back in 2017-18 to his first season at Boston College, where he was named Hockey East Rookie of the Year and helped lead the team to three Hockey East Championships in the next four seasons, although his final year was shortened with yet another injury. He joined the Checkers in 2021-22, where he does seem to be back on track, but the seriousness of his injuries is still a concern. If he ever gets a chance to play in the NHL, what a story that would be for the forward.